Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.116863 0.130336 0.144129 0.159268 0.175377 0.191969 0.210314
2024-10-27 0.097666 0.116082 0.135657 0.157881 0.182283 0.208138 0.237484
2024-11-03 0.085238 0.107143 0.131192 0.159273 0.190890 0.225136 0.264783
2024-11-10 0.076950 0.101698 0.129649 0.163076 0.201502 0.243868 0.293690
2024-11-17 0.067949 0.094445 0.125221 0.162879 0.207018 0.256480 0.315469
2024-11-24 0.062494 0.090818 0.124530 0.166585 0.216678 0.273555 0.342155
2024-12-01 0.056573 0.086046 0.121995 0.167703 0.222993 0.286560 0.364036
2024-12-08 0.050728 0.080846 0.118501 0.167283 0.227177 0.296858 0.382625
2024-12-15 0.046191 0.076954 0.116314 0.168182 0.232721 0.308594 0.402786
2024-12-22 0.041431 0.072359 0.112901 0.167265 0.235825 0.317264 0.419221
2024-12-29 0.038849 0.070556 0.112944 0.170583 0.244042 0.332005 0.442843
2025-01-05 0.035528 0.067427 0.111015 0.171191 0.248755 0.342427 0.461264
2025-01-12 0.032061 0.063908 0.108484 0.171032 0.252621 0.352034 0.479044
2025-01-19 0.028505 0.059951 0.105114 0.169574 0.254698 0.359363 0.494035
2025-01-26 0.026187 0.057715 0.104005 0.171027 0.260435 0.371184 0.514506
2025-02-02 0.024807 0.056863 0.104795 0.175002 0.269426 0.387075 0.540016
2025-02-09 0.022391 0.054086 0.102628 0.174795 0.272864 0.395961 0.556893
2025-02-16 0.021247 0.053368 0.103434 0.178670 0.281663 0.411616 0.582187
2025-02-23 0.019523 0.051478 0.102368 0.179838 0.286818 0.422636 0.601737
2025-03-02 0.017572 0.048988 0.100247 0.179399 0.289747 0.430774 0.617674
2025-03-09 0.016091 0.047223 0.099145 0.180338 0.294480 0.441197 0.636476
2025-03-16 0.014346 0.044763 0.096808 0.179380 0.296559 0.448155 0.650898
2025-03-23 0.013604 0.044226 0.097512 0.182848 0.304677 0.462937 0.675233